There are several factors that are likely to influence Kitui
governor results.
Firstly, Kitui governor results are likely to be influenced
by the parties that the respective candidates vie on. Thus although a given
aspirant may be a potentially good governor, if he or she stands on the ‘wrong’
party, that could have an detrimental effect on his or her results.
Secondly, Kitui governor results are likely to be influenced
by national politics waves. If the Kenya national political winds are blowing
in a certain direction and you try to swim against them, that could have a
negative effect on your results. But then again, in 2017, we did see Charity
Ngilu winning on her Narc party ticket against a strong Wiper Party wave… so
this is a factor that can be overcome, but only with very hard work.
Thirdly, Kitui givernor results are likely to be influenced
by the respective aspirants’ political mobilization skills. To get the best
Kitui governor results, one has to campaign effectively in both the Kitui
region and the Mwingi region – two diverse regions within the same county. To
get the best Kitui governor results, one has to campaign effectively in densely
populated areas, such as Kitui Central and Kitui West as well as in less
densely populated areas, such as Nuu, Ukasi, Endau and so on. So one’s
political mobilization skills are likely to have an impact on how they end up
performing in the Kitui governor election.
Fourthly, Kitui governor results are likely to be influenced
by the respective aspirants’ name recognition. Thus, if you are a well known
Kitui political player, and join the race for the Kitui governor position you
are likely to be at an advantage over newbies who don’t enjoy such brand
recognition. If you look at someone like the current Kitui governor – Charity
Kaluki Ngilu – you see that she is a person who has been in politics since the
early 90s, at one point even taking on President Daniel Arap Moi for the Kenyan
presidency. To understand how important name recognition is, you just have to
look at the 2017 Kitui governor results – where the incumbent dr Julius Malombe
ended up coming third after Charity Kaluki Ngilu and David Musila. Why? Perhaps
one of the factors at play could be name recognition – given that the Musila
and Ngilu brands were far better established in Kitui county than the Malombe
brand, in spite of the latter having had the honor of serving as the first
governor of Kitui county...
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